Somebody Should Start The ‘Stuff Costs Too Much’ Party

The Economic Collapse | October 31 2012

Stuff costs too much.  Seriously.

Every time I go to the grocery store these days, I am absolutely horrified by the prices.  I try not to buy anything that is not on sale, but the problem is that I am discovering that the new sale prices are the old regular prices.  So now paying what used to be “full price” is supposedly a “good deal”.  The other way that they are trying to hide rising prices is by shrinking package sizes.  As if we wouldn’t notice that a box of 21 garbage bags is now being sold for the exact same price that a box of 25 garbage bags used to be sold for.  It is one of my pet peeves.  I feel like I am in the middle of some bizarre movie entitled “The Incredible Shrinking Dollar”.

Sadly, I am far from alone.  There are millions upon millions of American families that are seeing their expenses continue to rise even as their paychecks remain the same.  But neither Barack Obama nor Mitt Romney seems very concerned about inflation.  In fact, the Federal Reserve, QE3 and Ben Bernanke were not even mentioned in any of the three presidential debates.  So I think that somebody should start the “Stuff Costs Too Much” Party.  Inflation is a tax which is destroying the value of each dollar that we hold a little bit more every single day, and the American people deserve to know the truth about what is going on.

In this day and age, it simply does not pay to put money into long-term savings.  When you finally pull your money out it will have far less purchasing power than it originally did.

Way back in 1950, you could buy a first-class stamp for just 3 cents and you could buy a gallon of gasoline for about 27 cents.

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Greg Hunter ~ Gold Is A Currency

USA Watchdog | September 26 2012

We have long been told that gold is a commodity–that it is no different than a bushel of corn or a barrel of oil.  In many newspapers, it is listed under the commodity section.   With the advent of the Federal Reserve’s recent announcement of “unlimited” Quantitative Easing (QE) or money printing, that has changed.  The view of gold as a commodity has circled back to what banker JP Morgan proclaimed to Congress in 1913, “Gold is money and nothing else.”   Many folks in the blogosphere have long agreed with the original JP Morgan.  It was the rest of the fiat world that wanted us all to believe the enormous lie that gold was only a commodity and not money.  Never mind that every central bank on the planet holds gold (and have been buying gold hand over fist for the past few years).

Now, a modern day version of JP Morgan is telling the world, “Gold is a currency.”  That’s what $120 billion hedge fund manager Ray Dalio said recently about the yellow metal.  Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, doesn’t give many interviews.  So, I find it very telling that when he does speak, he says, “It’s not sensible not to own gold.”  When asked if he owned gold, he quickly replies, “Oh yeah, I do,” and said people should have “10%” in their portfolios.  (Click here to see the complete Ray Dalio interview.)  This is what Mr. Dalio said the day before the Fed announced its now infamous “unlimited” QE.

Just last week, Dalio was riding the gold band wagon again and told CNBC the yellow metal “should be a part of everybody’s portfolio to some degree, because it diversifies the portfolio. It is the alternative money.”  (Click here for the complete CNBC story.)  I find it interesting the man Time Magazine included in its 2012 “100 most influential people in the world” is sounding this warning.  I can only speculate, but I wonder what he sees.  Is it a banking holiday?  Is it a Treasury bond bust as holders of U.S. debt sell in a panic?  Does he see inflation or hyperinflation down the road?  I wonder if he is anticipating a new currency, or a global derivatives meltdown that leads to a worldwide depression.  Maybe it’s all of the above.  I don’t really know what he sees, but he sees something, and gold is his choice to counter a black horizon.

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QE4? The Big Wall Street Banks Are Already Complaining That QE3 Is Not Enough

The Economic Collapse | September 24 2012

QE3 has barely even started and some folks on Wall Street are already clamoring for QE4.  In fact, as you will read below, one equity strategist at Morgan Stanley says that he would not be “surprised” if the Federal Reserve announced another new round of money printing by the end of the year.  But this is what tends to happen when a financial system starts becoming addicted to easy money.  There is always a deep hunger for another “hit” of “currency meth”.  Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was probably hoping that QE3 would satisfy the wolves on Wall Street for a while.  His promise to recklessly print 40 billion dollars a month and use it to buy mortgage-backed securities is being called “QEInfinity” by detractors.  During QE3, nearly half a trillion dollars a year will be added to the financial system until the Fed decides that it is time to stop.

This is so crazy that even former Federal Reserve officials are speaking out against it.  For example, former Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker says that QE3 is the “most extreme easing of monetary policy” that he could ever remember.  But the big Wall Street banks are never going to be satisfied.  If QE4 is announced, they will start calling for QE5.  As I noted in a previous article, quantitative easing tends to pump up the prices of financial assets such as stocks and commodities, and that is very good for Wall Street bankers.  So of course they want more quantitative easing.  They always want bigger profits and bigger bonus checks at the end of the year.

But at this point the Federal Reserve has already “jumped the shark”.  If you don’t know what “jumping the shark” means, you can find a definition on Wikipedia right here.  Whatever shreds of credibility the Fed had left are being washed away by a flood of newly printed money.

Those running the Fed have essentially used up all of their bullets and the next great financial crisis has not even fully erupted yet.

So what is the Fed going to do if the stock market crashes and the credit market freezes up like we saw back in 2008?

How much more extreme can the Fed go?

One can just picture “Helicopter Ben” strapping on a pair of water skis and making the following promise….

“We are going to print so much money that we’ll make Zimbabwe and the Weimar Republic look like wimps!”

Sadly, the truth is that money printing is not a “quick fix” and it never has been.  Just look at Japan.  The Bank of Japan is on round 8 of their quantitative easing strategy, and yet things in Japan continue to get even worse.

But that is not going to stop the folks on Wall Street from calling for even more quantitative easing.

For example, the top U.S. equity strategist for Morgan Stanley, Adam Parker, made headlines all over the world this week by writing the following….

“QE3 will likely be insufficient to significantly boost equity markets and we wouldn’t be at all surprised to see the Fed dramatically augment this program (i.e., QE4) before year-end, particularly if economic and corporate news continue to deteriorate as they have over the past few weeks.”

Did you get what he is saying there?

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Matt Taibbi ~ Ludicrous Times Op-Ed Forgets Entire Year of Wall Street History

Rolling Stone | RS_News | August 2 2012

OPINION ~ It was riotous, side-splitting comedy last week when Sanford Weill, the onetime head of Citibank, went on CNBC to announce that he thought it was time to break up the big banks.

Why this was funny: Through his ambitious (and at the time not yet legal) decision to merge Citibank, Travelers, and Salomon Brothers into one giant wrecking ball of greed, self-dealing and global irresponsibility called Citigroup, Weill more or less single-handedly created the Too-Big-To-Fail problem. You know, the one currently casting that thick, black doomlike shadow over all humanity which, if you look out your window, you can see floating over all our heads this very minute.

Nonetheless, Weill came out last week against Too Big to Fail banks. “I’m suggesting,” he told astonished reporters on a live CNBC interview, “that they be broken up so that the taxpayer will never be at risk…. What we should probably do is go and split up investment banking from banking.”

The interview became an instant YouTube classic. The very funniest part, I thought, was the response of Squawk Box host Andrew Ross Sorkin, the single most credulously slobbering financial reporter on the planet this side of Maria Bartiromo. Even he was so shocked by Weill’s comments that he lost his voice – “I’m speechless,” he said.

At about the 1:20 mark of the clip, just after Weill offered his incredible opinion about the need to break up the banks, any sensible reporter would have pounced. Some version of, “Dude, are you high? Youinvented Too Big To Fail!” would have been the proper response – followed hopefully by a spirited lunge across the set to beat Weill repeatedly about the neck and head with a Swingline stapler, until he screeched out a tearful apology to every last living soul on earth.

Instead, Sorkin took another tack:

“Okay, so then the question becomes – Glass-Steagall,” Sorkin said. “You’re almost referring to bringing back Glass-Steagall, in some respects.”

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Greg Hunter ~ It’s Official: Economy Heading Down

USA Watchdog | May 7 2012

There has been so much bad economic news out, recently, I do not see how anyone with half a frontal lobe could say the economy is not in trouble. Friday, new unemployment figures were announced, and a weak 119,000 jobs were created. The rate fell to 8.1%, but only because more discouraged workers stopped looking for work and disappeared from the government’s data base. In Friday’s report, economist John Williams of Shadowstats.com summed it all up by saying, “The headline U.3 unemployment rate dropped a statistically insignificant notch to 8.1% in April, from 8.2% in March, but the “good” news was anything but good. The declining pace of headline unemployment reflected an accelerating increase in the number of the headline unemployed giving up looking for work, because there were no jobs to be had. . . . The SGS-Alternate Unemployment Measure, accordingly, notched higher in April to 22.3%, from 22.2% in March.” So, unemployment in the real world actually went up—not down. According to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, planned job cuts rose 7.1% in April, and more than 40,000 more workers are going to be laid off.

Housing is another sad story. Year-over-year housing prices continue to decline despite record low 30-year mortgage rates below 4%! In the last two years alone, 1 million homeowners who bought houses lost money and are underwater. In January, the Federal Reserve estimated 12 million Americans owed more than their homes were worth. Economist Robert Shiller of the Case-Shiller home price index lamented, two weeks ago, “I worry that we might not see a really major turnaround in our lifetimes.”

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Greg Hunter ~ Bottom-Bouncing Economy

USA Watchdog | April 17 2012

“Bottom-bouncing” is the term John Williams of Shadowstats.com uses consistently to describe the true state of the economy.  The mainstream media would like you to believe that with every slight uptick in the economy, we have hit bottom and are in a so-called “recovery.”  The upticks are reported with wild enthusiasm, while the downticks are brushed over.  The latest bad news for the economy came from the housing sector.  CNBC reported Monday, “In a stark reversal during the heart of the spring housing market, confidence among the nation’s homebuilders dropped in April to levels not seen since January.  An association index measuring sentiment fell three points, changing course after seven straight months of gains. It now stands at twenty-five; fifty is the line between positive and negative sentiment.   ‘What we’re seeing is essentially a pause in what had been a fairly rapid build-up in builder confidence that started last September,’ said National Association of Home Builders Chief Economist David Crowe in a release.”

Maybe sentiment is down because actual housing starts are also down nearly 6% in March.  But that’s not really the point to focus on according to Shadowstats.com—it is the overall trend.  In his latest report, Williams said, “March 2012 housing starts fell by a statistically-insignificant 5.8%, versus February 2012, but that was no more than the 40th-straight month of stagnant business activity.  This period of stagnation, or bottom-bouncing at historically-low levels, followed an unprecedented 75% plunge in housing activity from 2006 through the end of 2008.” 

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Greg Hunter ~ Inflation Everywhere but MSM Says NOT

USAWatchdog.com | February 20 2012

It seems every chance the mainstream media (MSM) gets, it tells us things really aren’t that bad.  For example, the headline from the Associated Press (AP) said,Consumer prices on the rise, but inflation outlook is benign.”   Who approves the headlines at the AP?  Prices are rising, but there is no inflation?  Aren’t rising prices the main ingredient of inflation?  The story goes on to say, “Consumer prices rose modestly in January on higher costs for food, gas, rent and clothing.  But economists downplayed the increase, saying inflation will likely ease in the coming months as prices for raw materials level off.”

I wonder where the people who write for the MSM shop for groceries and buy their gasoline.  Maybe they have a time machine and magically go back where prices are a lot lower for everything.  But for those for us eating and heating our homes today, things are not getting cheaper and inflation is a problem!  Look at this from a different AP story where the headline says it all, “Gasoline prices are highest ever for this time of year.”  The story goes on to say, “Gasoline prices have never been higher this time of the year.  At $3.53 a gallon, prices are already up 25 cents since Jan. 1. And experts say they could reach a record $4.25 a gallon by late April.  ‘You’re going to see a lot more staycations this year,” says Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research. “When the price gets anywhere near $4, you really see people react.”  

Do the writers at the AP read their own stories?  Do these reporters not talk to each other or read the rundown (a list of stories every reporter is working on.)  Do the editors for the AP not want some sort of continuity?  I don’t have the answers to any of these questions, but those are the ones I am asking to myself.  In another story from CNBC a little more than a week ago, the headline read, “Get Ready for $5 Gas This Year: Ex-Shell CEO.”     Do you think this is signaling the “inflation outlook is benign”?  Oh, Iran just cut off oil exports to French and British firms.   A report from Reuters said, “Iran has stopped selling crude to British and French companies, the oil ministry said on Sunday, in a retaliatory measure against fresh EU sanctions on the Islamic state’s lifeblood, oil.”   This is around 700,000 barrels a day cut off to the EU from Iran.  Do you think this will make gasoline cheaper in the coming weeks and months?  This is financial war, but what if there is a shooting war?  You think gasoline prices will be heading south or go up to that $5 a gallon mark?

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Analyst ~ Merkel’s Leadership ‘Like Captain of Titanic’

by Shai Ahmed | CNBC
November 15 2011

The only real solution to the crisis currently dragging down the euro zone is the scrapping of the single currency, according to John Wadle, head of regional banks research at Mirae Asset.

In a research note, Wadle said it was difficult to see a situation where the euro was not split “rather than an opt-out for the weak countries in Europe, which will just create further pressure across the system.” “Germany, France and northern countries should create a new euro and let the old euro be the currency for the PIIGS and let this get devalued,” he said.

This, Wadle argued, will be less painful – although still costly – for everyone and practical because the financial system can be better ring-fenced and avoid system-wide contagion.

He added it was either the above scenario or the European Central Bank agreeing to buy unlimited amounts of Spanish and Italian debt in the next few weeks, which he said Germany would not agree to.

Wadle described German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s handling of the crisis as resembling the captain of the Titanic after the iceberg has hit.

“Merkel said yesterday, ‘It’s time for a breakthrough to a new Europe.’ This is like the captain of the Titanic saying after hitting the iceberg, ‘okay everyone let’s go for a swim’,” Wadle said.

Merkel was speaking at the two-day annual Christian Democratic Union congress in Germany, which has become dominated by the debt crisis engulfing the region.

According to Wadle it is a mistake to put pressure on the weaker European nations.

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Gov. Rick Perry’s Memory Stumble…Fatal?

By Allen Wastler (Managing Editor) | CNBC
November 9 2011

Well, perhaps Perry’s subconscious is helping him fulfill his stated desire never to be US Pres. ~ Gillian

Texas governor Rick Perry may have made a fatal gaffe at the Republican presidential debate Wednesday night.

In the midst of answering a question about reducing the federal deficit, Perry reminded the audience he had a plan to cut three government agencies immediately upon becoming president. But while he reeled off the Department of Commerce and the Department of Education, he could not remember the third.

“It’s fatal,” said Tony Fratto, a former White House spokesman for the Bush Administration. “If it happened on its own he may have survived …. but there have been a series of gaffes and this is probably fatal.”

Another Republican strategist agreed.

“It was the death knell,” said Sara Fagen, former director of political affairs for the Bush Administration. “Perry had the opportunity to re-emerge at this debate…and he squandered that opportunity.”

Futures on Perry’s candidacy at Intrade, the online trading site that allows futures trading on candidate prospects and other types of bets, immediately took a dive following the blunder.

Later in the debate, presented by CNBC at Oakland University in Michigan, Perry offered that the third agency was the Department of Energy.

Immediately after the debate, the governor told members of the media who had gathered in the “spin room” that he had “stepped in it out there.”

Taking full responsibility for his slip-up, Perry went on to say, “I stepped in it man, it was embarrassing, of course it was.”

Trying to get the conversation back to his message Perry told reporters, “the bottom line is I may have forgotten energy but I haven’t forgotten my conservative principles” adding, “I’ll be in SC on Saturday and hopefully I’ll remember the energy department.”

© 2011 CNBC.com

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Italy at Breaking Point, Merkel Calls for ‘New Europe’

by Reuters | CNBC
November 9 2011

Italian borrowing costs reached breaking point on Wednesday after Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi’s insistence on elections instead of an interim government opened the way to prolonged instability and delays to economic reform.

Italian 10-year bond yields shot above the 7 percent level that is widely deemed unsustainable, reflecting investors’ concerns that they may not get their money back and prompting German Chancellor Angela Merkel to issue a call to arms.

Merkel said Europe’s plight was now so “unpleasant” that deep structural reforms were needed quickly, warning the rest of the world would not wait.

“That will mean more Europe, not less Europe,” she told a conference in Berlin.

She called for changes in EU treaties after French President Nicolas Sarkozy advocated a two-speed Europe in which euro zone countries accelerate and deepen integration while an expanding group outside the currency bloc stayed more loosely connected — a signal that some members may have to quit the euro if the entire structure is not to crumble.

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Greek ‘Farce’: How the Deal On New Leader Fell Apart

By Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CNBC Anchor) | CNBC
November 9 2011

The search for a Greek prime minister appears to be back at square one.

Phillipos Petsalnikos

After much intense negotiation, leaders of the two largest parties had agreed to name Phillipos Petsalnikos, current leader of the Parliament, to head the interim government until elections in February, according to someone familiar with the situation.

However, when they gathered at the office of the Greek President Karolos Papoulias to discuss it with other party leaders, they met strong resistance from George Karatzaferis, leader of the far-right Laos (People) Party.

Karatzaferis left the building in a huff, but not before stopping in front of the press corps, screaming that the situation was a “farce,” and that he refused to be a part of political tactical games.

When asked if he would prefer Lucas Papademos, a former central banker, and another contender for the role of prime minister, Karatzaferis responded: “Damn sure I will!” and drove off.

Petsalnikos is a career politician, having held office since 1985. He’s been minister of education, minister of justice, minister of public order, and minister of Nothern Greece. His critics say he doesn’t have enough experience with finance to take on the job.

Lucas Papademos is a former central banker, intimately familiar with international finance, and a PhD in economics from MIT. Someone familiar with the situation says there were disagreements with him about the composition of his cabinet and the tasks he thought the transitional government should perform.

There is yet another meeting scheduled for tomorrow morning in Athens at 10 am (3 am ET.)

© 2011 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved

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Exclusive Analysis ~ 65% Chance of Banking Crisis by Last Week In November

By Patrick Allen | CNBC
November 9 2011

There is a 65 percent chance of a banking crisis between November 23-26 following a Greek default and a run on the Italian banking system, according to analysts at Exclusive Analysis, an intelligence company that focuses on global risks.

A domino effect on banks is 65% likely following a Greek default and a run on the Italian banking system according to analysts.

Having tested a number of assumptions in a scenario modeling exercise, the Exclusive Analysis team warned it is becoming less and less likely that EU leaders will simply “muddle through” and have made some bold calls with clear timelines on when the euro zone will be thrown into a major financial crisis.

The most likely outcome according to their analysis is a sudden crisis in which the US, UK and BRICs nations refuse to provide funding via the IMF for the euro zone. In a world where predictions are made with no time lines, the paper makes some bold predictions which can be held to account over the next three weeks.

In the worst case scenario, Exclusive Analysis expects the governments of Greece and Portugal to collapse due to a lack of consensus on how to handle the debt crisis leading to social unrest. German opposition to handing more funds to the EFSF rises, leading Germany’s parliament to actually reduce the money available to the bailout fund.

“In face of that, China and the other BRICs give clear signals that they will not support the bailout fund. The EFSF turns to the ECB, which refuses to print out the amount of money the former needs to bailout the PIIGS. In face of the EU’s failure to boost the EFSF, the European banks refuse to accept the 50 percent haircut on the Greek debt. Both the IMF and the ECB suspend payments to Greece,” said the report released on Tuesday evening.

Between November 18-22, French debt, under Exclusive Analysis’ most likely scenario, is downgraded leading to the interbank lending market freezing up with new governments in Greece and Italy “faced down by protestors in their attempts to implement more austerity”.

Civil unrest follows in Spain following the election of a new government which pushes through even tighter austerity measures, and Portugal announces it cannot meet financial targets putting its bailout cash from the IMF and ECB at risk.

“Increased fear that these economies will default creates bank runs in Greece and Portugal and a downgrade of French sovereign debt from AAA to AA. EFSF is subsequently downgraded to AA+” said the report.

“The spreads applied to the debt of all PIIGS increase with yields on Italian bonds reaching 7.3 percent. In a second contagion effect, depositors in Spain and Italy fear a banking crisis in their own countries, which end up creating a series of bank runs and a collapse of the interbank credit market as banks know that most of their counterparts are at risk. Greece defaults.”

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Greece Runs Into Trouble Picking a New Prime Minister

by Reuters | CNBC
November 7 2011

Lucas Papademos

Greek party leaders are struggling to agree on a new prime minister, despite EU demands that the political class commit itself fast to the nation’s financial salvation and end the chaos threatening the entire euro project.

Monday came and went without any accord on who will lead a new national unity coalition, despite plenty of talk that a former vice president of the European Central Bank, Lucas Papademos, would get the job.

The cabinet was due to hold an emergency session on Tuesday and officials said negotiations were under way on the “100-day coalition” which must win parliamentary approval for a euro zone bailout and save the country from bankruptcy.

But after an early burst of compromise as the EU turned the screws on both sides, the drive by the socialist and conservative parties to create a government which will rule only until February appeared to be losing momentum.

Frustration was apparent in Brussels where officials said the new government had to show it was serious about implementing promises Athens has made to its EU and IMF lenders in return for the 130 billion-euro bailout.

“It is essential that the entire political class is now restoring the confidence that had been lost in the Greek commitment to the EU/IMF programme,” said EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn.

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