Matt – The odds are shifting in the favor of Republicans holding the Congress – literally. The betting odds show that Democrats are a major underdog in the Senate, with only a 29% chance of taking control. Democrats do have a slight edge when it comes to their odds of retaking the House, but generic Republicans/Democrats are still polling within the margin of error.

After Tuesday’s primary in California, it’s clear that the odds of Republicans holding the House are higher than everyone is expecting.

According to Fox News:

The odds of Democrats capturing a House majority are worse today than they were before the primary votes came in.

Democrats see their path to control of the House running through two dozen districts across the country that sent a Republican to Congress in 2016, but voted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. A full seven of those districts are in California. Continue reading →